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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Foggia x Sorrento Calcio Betting tips for March 9 in Italy Serie C Group C
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 14h00 Italy Serie C Group C
Foggia Foggia
PREDICTION No tip
Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio
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Foggia x Sorrento Calcio Betting tips for March 9 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Foggia x Sorrento Calcio, Sunday, 9/3/2025
πŸ“… 9/3/2025
14:00
Foggia Foggia
2.06
X
3.10
Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio
3.38

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Foggia x Sorrento Calcio:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Foggia x Sorrento Calcio

Important information for your tip for Foggia x Sorrento Calcio:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Foggia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sorrento Calcio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Foggia scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Sorrento Calcio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Sorrento Calcio has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Foggia x Sorrento Calcio for the Italy Serie C Group C – 9 of March

🏟️ Foggia X Sorrento Calcio – Italy Serie C Group C
πŸ“… 9 of March, 2025 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ Foggia – Winning probability: 51.65% | Fair line: 1.94
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.83% | Fair line: 3.47
πŸ”΄ Sorrento Calcio – Winning probability: 19.52% | Fair line: 5.12
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Foggia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Foggia x Sorrento Calcio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Foggia x Sorrento Calcio

Is betting on Foggia worth it?

πŸ”΅ Foggia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $551.20
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$71.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $609.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$101.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sorrento Calcio?

πŸ”΄ Sorrento Calcio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $476.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$324.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Foggia x Sorrento Calcio

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Foggia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Foggia x Sorrento Calcio

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Foggia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Foggia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Foggia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Foggia x Sorrento Calcio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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