Foligno x Ghiviborgo Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 1/12/2024 13:30 |
 Foligno1.95 |
X 3.30 |
Ghiviborgo  3.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Foligno x Ghiviborgo:
🔮 Ghiviborgo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ghiviborgo, you can win up to $1750.00!
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Important information for your tip for Foligno x Ghiviborgo: 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Foligno scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from Foligno x Ghiviborgo for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December
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🏟️ Foligno X Ghiviborgo – Italy Serie D |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Foligno x Ghiviborgo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Foligno x Ghiviborgo
Is it worth betting on Foligno?
🔵 Foligno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 380 times – profiting $361.00;
- And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$259.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $460.00
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$340.00.
Should you bet on Ghiviborgo?
🔴 Ghiviborgo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $1050.00;
- And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$470.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Foligno x Ghiviborgo
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Foligno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Foligno x Ghiviborgo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Foligno and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Foligno.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Ghiviborgo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Foligno x Ghiviborgo
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
