Foligno x Sangiovannese Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D
π
12/1/2025 13:30 |
Foligno 1.60 |
X 3.60 |
Sangiovannese 4.75 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Foligno x Sangiovannese:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Foligno x Sangiovannese
The main points for the tip for Foligno x Sangiovannese: π In the last 6 matches as the home team, Foligno scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from Foligno x Sangiovannese for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January
ποΈ Foligno X Sangiovannese – Italy Serie D |
When the best bet on Foligno x Sangiovannese is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Foligno x Sangiovannese
Is it a good idea to bet on Foligno?
π΅ Foligno: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 610 times – profiting $366.00;
- And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$24.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $650.00
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$100.00.
Is betting on Sangiovannese worth it?
π΄ Sangiovannese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $525.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$335.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Foligno x Sangiovannese
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Foligno
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Foligno x Sangiovannese
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Foligno and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Foligno.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Sangiovannese.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Foligno x Sangiovannese
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.