Forli x Piacenza Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Forli x Piacenza, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 13:30

Forli 1.51

X 3.70

Piacenza 5.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Forli x Piacenza:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Forli x Piacenza

Important information for your tip for Forli x Piacenza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Forli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $137.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Piacenza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-317.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Forli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Piacenza matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Forli x Piacenza for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

When the best bet on Forli x Piacenza is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Forli x Piacenza

Is it a good idea to bet on Forli?

🔵 Forli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.51. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 670 times – profiting $341.70;
• And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$11.70. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $675.00
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$75.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Piacenza?

🔴 Piacenza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $360.00;
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$560.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Forli x Piacenza

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Forli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Forli x Piacenza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Forli, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Forli.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Piacenza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Forli x Piacenza

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.