Fortaleza CEIF x Llaneros Betting tips for April 18 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 18/4/2025 00:00 |
 Fortaleza CEIF1.67 |
X 3.50 |
Llaneros  4.75 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fortaleza CEIF x Llaneros:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Fortaleza CEIF x Llaneros: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza CEIF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0. |
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Analysis from Fortaleza CEIF x Llaneros for the Colombia Primera A – 18 of April
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🏟️ Fortaleza CEIF X Llaneros – Colombia Primera A |
When the best bet on Fortaleza CEIF x Llaneros is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1305782 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Fortaleza CEIF x Llaneros
Is it a good idea to bet on Fortaleza CEIF?
🔵 Fortaleza CEIF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 480 times – profiting $321.60;
- And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$198.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $825.00;
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$155.00.
Is betting on Llaneros worth it?
🔴 Llaneros: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $712.50;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$97.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza CEIF x Llaneros
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fortaleza CEIF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza CEIF x Llaneros
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Fortaleza CEIF, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Fortaleza CEIF.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Llaneros.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza CEIF x Llaneros
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
