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Home » Predictions » Others » Fortaleza U20 x Ceara U20 Betting tips for September 30 in Brazil U20 League
Monday, 30 September 2024, 19h00 Brazil U20 League
Fortaleza U20 Fortaleza U20
PREDICTION Fortaleza U20 wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Ceara U20 Ceara U20
ODD: @1.78 Don't miss this prediction!

Fortaleza U20 x Ceara U20 Betting tips for September 30 in Brazil U20 League

Our betting tip for Fortaleza U20 x Ceara U20, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
19:00
Fortaleza U20 Fortaleza U20
1.78
X
3.40
Ceara U20 Ceara U20
3.95

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fortaleza U20 x Ceara U20:

🔮 Fortaleza U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza U20, you can win up to $890.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Fortaleza U20 x Ceara U20:

👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Ceara U20, Fortaleza U20 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Fortaleza U20 received red cards as the home team in all the last 3 head-to-head matches against Ceara U20.
👉 Playing as the home team, Fortaleza U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Ceara U20.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fortaleza U20 x Ceara U20?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fortaleza U20 x Ceara U20, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Fortaleza U20 x Ceara U20 for the Brazil U20 League – 30 of September

🏟️ Fortaleza U20 X Ceara U20 – Brazil U20 League
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Fortaleza U20 – Winning probability: 61.10% | Fair line: 1.64
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.74% | Fair line: 4.4
🔴 Ceara U20 – Winning probability: 16.15% | Fair line: 6.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Fortaleza U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fortaleza U20 x Ceara U20 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192575 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fortaleza U20 x Ceara U20

Is it a good idea to bet on Fortaleza U20?

🔵 Fortaleza U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $475.80;
  • And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$85.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $552.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$218.00.

Is it worth betting on Ceara U20?

🔴 Ceara U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $472.00;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$368.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza U20 x Ceara U20

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Fortaleza U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza U20 x Ceara U20

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Fortaleza U20 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Fortaleza U20.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Ceara U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza U20 x Ceara U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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