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Home » Predictions » Others » Foshan Nanshi x Nanjing City Betting tips for May 11 in China Division 1
Sunday, 11 May 2025, 11h30 China Division 1
Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi
PREDICTION Nanjing City Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Nanjing City Nanjing City
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Foshan Nanshi x Nanjing City Betting tips for May 11 in China Division 1

Our betting tip for Foshan Nanshi x Nanjing City, Sunday, 11/5/2025
📅 11/5/2025
11:30
Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi
3.30
X
3.10
Nanjing City Nanjing City
2.05

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Foshan Nanshi x Nanjing City:

🔮 Nanjing City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nanjing City, you can win up to $1025.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Foshan Nanshi x Nanjing City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Foshan Nanshi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nanjing City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Nanjing City conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Foshan Nanshi x Nanjing City for the China Division 1 – 11 of May

🏟️ Foshan Nanshi X Nanjing City – China Division 1
📅 11 of May, 2025 – 11:30
🔵 Foshan Nanshi – Winning probability: 17.05% | Fair line: 5.87
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.76% | Fair line: 4.04
🔴 Nanjing City – Winning probability: 58.19% | Fair line: 1.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Foshan Nanshi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Foshan Nanshi x Nanjing City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1322631 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Foshan Nanshi x Nanjing City

Should you bet on Foshan Nanshi?

🔵 Foshan Nanshi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $391.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$439.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$225.00.

Is betting on Nanjing City worth it?

🔴 Nanjing City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $609.00;
  • And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$189.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Foshan Nanshi x Nanjing City

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Foshan Nanshi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Foshan Nanshi x Nanjing City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Foshan Nanshi and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Foshan Nanshi.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Foshan Nanshi.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Foshan Nanshi x Nanjing City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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