Fraga x CD La Almunia Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 17
| 📅 1/12/2024 15:30 |
 Fraga2.24 |
X 3.14 |
CD La Almunia  2.84 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fraga x CD La Almunia:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1570.00!
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Important information for your tip for Fraga x CD La Almunia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD La Almunia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $498.0. |
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Analysis from Fraga x CD La Almunia for the Spain Tercera Group 17 – 1 of December
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🏟️ Fraga X CD La Almunia – Spain Tercera Group 17 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fraga and CD La Almunia.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Fraga x CD La Almunia
Is betting on Fraga worth it?
🔵 Fraga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $496.00;
- And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$104.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $727.60
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$67.60.
Should you bet on CD La Almunia?
🔴 CD La Almunia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $478.40
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$261.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fraga x CD La Almunia
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fraga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fraga x CD La Almunia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Fraga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Fraga.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fraga x CD La Almunia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
