Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland FA Cup
📅 30/11/2024 15:00 |
Fraserburgh 5.25 |
X 4.00 |
Annan Athletic 1.53 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic:
🔮 Annan Athletic wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Annan Athletic, you can win up to $765.00!
Important information for your tip for Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Annan Athletic in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic for the Scotland FA Cup – 30 of November
🏟️ Fraserburgh X Annan Athletic – Scotland FA Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic
Should you bet on Fraserburgh?
🔵 Fraserburgh: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $807.50;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$2.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$480.00.
Should you bet on Annan Athletic?
🔴 Annan Athletic: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $360.40
- And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$40.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Fraserburgh
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Fraserburgh, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Fraserburgh.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -1.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Fraserburgh.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.