Freiburg II x FC 08 Homburg Betting tips for March 9 in Germany Regionalliga South West

Our betting tip for Freiburg II x FC 08 Homburg, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 13:00

Freiburg II 2.44

X 3.35

FC 08 Homburg 2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Freiburg II x FC 08 Homburg:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Freiburg II x FC 08 Homburg

Important information for your tip for Freiburg II x FC 08 Homburg: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Freiburg II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $220.0. 👉 In the last 3 FC 08 Homburg matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Freiburg II conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against FC 08 Homburg.

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Analysis from Freiburg II x FC 08 Homburg for the Germany Regionalliga South West – 9 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Freiburg II x FC 08 Homburg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Freiburg II x FC 08 Homburg

Is it worth betting on Freiburg II?

🔵 Freiburg II: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $475.20;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$194.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $634.50;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$95.50.

Should you bet on FC 08 Homburg?

🔴 FC 08 Homburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $600.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$0.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Freiburg II x FC 08 Homburg

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Freiburg II
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Freiburg II x FC 08 Homburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Freiburg II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Freiburg II.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 FC 08 Homburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Freiburg II x FC 08 Homburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.