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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Friska Viljor FC x Hammarby TFF Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden 1.div Norra
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Sweden 1.div Norra
Friska Viljor FC Friska Viljor FC
PREDICTION Hammarby TFF Wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Hammarby TFF Hammarby TFF
ODD: @1.52 Don't miss this prediction!

Friska Viljor FC x Hammarby TFF Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden 1.div Norra

Our betting tip for Friska Viljor FC x Hammarby TFF, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
09:00
Friska Viljor FC Friska Viljor FC
5.00
X
4.20
Hammarby TFF Hammarby TFF
1.52

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Friska Viljor FC x Hammarby TFF:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Hammarby TFF wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hammarby TFF, you can win up to $760.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Friska Viljor FC x Hammarby TFF:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Friska Viljor FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hammarby TFF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Friska Viljor FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Friska Viljor FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Friska Viljor FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Hammarby TFF conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Friska Viljor FC x Hammarby TFF for the Sweden 1.div Norra – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Friska Viljor FC X Hammarby TFF – Sweden 1.div Norra
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
๐Ÿ”ต Friska Viljor FC – Winning probability: 6.10% | Fair line: 16.39
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.88% | Fair line: 8.42
๐Ÿ”ด Hammarby TFF – Winning probability: 82.02% | Fair line: 1.22
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Friska Viljor FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Friska Viljor FC x Hammarby TFF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Friska Viljor FC x Hammarby TFF

Is it worth betting on Friska Viljor FC?

๐Ÿ”ต Friska Viljor FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $240.00
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$700.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $384.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$496.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Hammarby TFF?

๐Ÿ”ด Hammarby TFF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 82.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – profiting $426.40;
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$246.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Friska Viljor FC x Hammarby TFF

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Friska Viljor FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Friska Viljor FC x Hammarby TFF

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Friska Viljor FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Friska Viljor FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Hammarby TFF.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Friska Viljor FC x Hammarby TFF

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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