Frosinone x Brescia Betting tips for March 15 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Frosinone x Brescia, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 14:00

Frosinone 2.40

X 2.64

Brescia 3.65

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Frosinone x Brescia:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Frosinone x Brescia

The main points for the tip for Frosinone x Brescia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Frosinone in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brescia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Frosinone scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Frosinone conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Brescia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Frosinone x Brescia for the Italy Serie B – 15 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Frosinone x Brescia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Frosinone x Brescia

Is betting on Frosinone worth it?

🔵 Frosinone: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $574.00;
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$16.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $541.20;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$128.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Brescia?

🔴 Brescia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $689.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$51.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Frosinone x Brescia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Frosinone
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Frosinone x Brescia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Frosinone and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Frosinone. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Frosinone x Brescia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.