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Home » Predictions » FS La Massana x FC Pas de la Casa Betting tips for May 11 in Andorra Premier Division
Sunday, 11 May 2025, 09h00 Andorra Premier Division
FS La Massana FS La Massana
PREDICTION FC Pas de la Casa Wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
FC Pas de la Casa FC Pas de la Casa
ODD: @1.15 Don't miss this prediction!

FS La Massana x FC Pas de la Casa Betting tips for May 11 in Andorra Premier Division

Our betting tip for FS La Massana x FC Pas de la Casa, Sunday, 11/5/2025
📅 11/5/2025
09:00
FS La Massana FS La Massana
11.50
X
6.90
FC Pas de la Casa FC Pas de la Casa
1.15

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FS La Massana x FC Pas de la Casa:

🔮 FC Pas de la Casa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Pas de la Casa, you can win up to $575.00!

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Some important points for the tip for FS La Massana x FC Pas de la Casa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FS La Massana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Pas de la Casa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-380.0.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between FS La Massana x FC Pas de la Casa, with FS La Massana as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, FS La Massana conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, FS La Massana conceded at least 3 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against FC Pas de la Casa.
👉 It is not a good time for FS La Massana as home team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last home matches.
👉 Even as a visitor, FC Pas de la Casa won the last 3 head-to-head matches FS La Massana´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from FS La Massana x FC Pas de la Casa for the Andorra Premier Division – 11 of May

🏟️ FS La Massana X FC Pas de la Casa – Andorra Premier Division
📅 11 of May, 2025 – 09:00
🔵 FS La Massana – Winning probability: 0.05% | Fair line: 2070.92
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.36% | Fair line: 279.31
🔴 FC Pas de la Casa – Winning probability: 99.59% | Fair line: 1.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 FS La Massana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FS La Massana x FC Pas de la Casa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1322631 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FS La Massana x FC Pas de la Casa

Is it worth betting on FS La Massana?

🔵 FS La Massana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 11.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Pas de la Casa?

🔴 FC Pas de la Casa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 1000 times – profiting $150.00;
  • And would lose other 0 times – losing -$0.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$150.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FS La Massana x FC Pas de la Casa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 FS La Massana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FS La Massana x FC Pas de la Casa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.25 FS La Massana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +2.0 FS La Massana.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 FC Pas de la Casa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FS La Massana x FC Pas de la Casa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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