📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Fulham x Birmingham
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Analysis from Fulham x Birmingham for the England Championship – 18 of January
🏟️ Fulham X Birmingham – England Championship
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fulham and Birmingham.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 289715 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Fulham x Birmingham
Is betting on Fulham worth it?
🔵 Fulham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 96.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 970 times – profiting $305.55;
- And would lose other 30 times – losing -$30.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$275.55.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $77.00;
- And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$903.00.
Should you bet on Birmingham?
🔴 Birmingham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $78.50
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$911.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fulham x Birmingham
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Fulham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fulham x Birmingham
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Fulham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Fulham.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Fulham.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fulham x Birmingham
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves