📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Gazisehir Gaziantep FK x Yeni Malatyaspor
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Analysis from Gazisehir Gaziantep FK x Yeni Malatyaspor for the Turkey Super Lig – 18 of January
🏟️ Gazisehir Gaziantep FK X Yeni Malatyaspor – Turkey Super Lig
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gazisehir Gaziantep FK x Yeni Malatyaspor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288868 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Gazisehir Gaziantep FK x Yeni Malatyaspor
Is it a good idea to bet on Gazisehir Gaziantep FK?
🔵 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $448.50
- And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$138.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $530.10;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$289.90.
Should you bet on Yeni Malatyaspor?
🔴 Yeni Malatyaspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $504.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$356.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Gazisehir Gaziantep FK x Yeni Malatyaspor
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gazisehir Gaziantep FK x Yeni Malatyaspor
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gazisehir Gaziantep FK x Yeni Malatyaspor
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves