📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for GD Fontinhas x CG Vitoria Sernache
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Analysis from GD Fontinhas x CG Vitoria Sernache for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 16 of January
🏟️ GD Fontinhas X CG Vitoria Sernache – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for GD Fontinhas x CG Vitoria Sernache right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for GD Fontinhas x CG Vitoria Sernache
Is it a good idea to bet on GD Fontinhas?
🔵 GD Fontinhas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 630 times – profiting $429.34;
- And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$59.34.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.00.
Is it worth betting on CG Vitoria Sernache?
🔴 CG Vitoria Sernache: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $576.80;
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$263.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match GD Fontinhas x CG Vitoria Sernache
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 GD Fontinhas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for GD Fontinhas x CG Vitoria Sernache
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 GD Fontinhas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 GD Fontinhas.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 CG Vitoria Sernache.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for GD Fontinhas x CG Vitoria Sernache
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves