GD Joane x Atletico Arcos Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for GD Joane x Atletico Arcos, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 11:00

GD Joane 1.76

X 3.50

Atletico Arcos 3.93

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for GD Joane x Atletico Arcos:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for GD Joane x Atletico Arcos

The main points for the tip for GD Joane x Atletico Arcos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on GD Joane in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $85.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Atletico Arcos scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 GD Joane matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, GD Joane conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atletico Arcos conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on GD Joane x Atletico Arcos?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on GD Joane x Atletico Arcos, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from GD Joane x Atletico Arcos for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for GD Joane x Atletico Arcos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for GD Joane x Atletico Arcos

Is it a good idea to bet on GD Joane?

🔵 GD Joane: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $387.60;
• And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$102.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $725.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$15.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Arcos?

🔴 Atletico Arcos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $586.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$214.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match GD Joane x Atletico Arcos

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 GD Joane
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for GD Joane x Atletico Arcos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 GD Joane, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 GD Joane.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for GD Joane x Atletico Arcos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.