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Home Β» Predictions Β» GD Peniche x O Elvas Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
GD Peniche GD Peniche
PREDICTION No tip
O Elvas O Elvas
Don't miss this prediction!

GD Peniche x O Elvas Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for GD Peniche x O Elvas, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
11:00
GD Peniche GD Peniche
2.50
X
3.16
O Elvas O Elvas
2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for GD Peniche x O Elvas:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for GD Peniche x O Elvas

Some important points for the tip for GD Peniche x O Elvas:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on GD Peniche in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $490.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on O Elvas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-310.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 O Elvas matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, O Elvas has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from GD Peniche x O Elvas for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September

🏟️ GD Peniche X O Elvas – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ GD Peniche – Winning probability: 30.45% | Fair line: 3.28
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.01% | Fair line: 3.33
πŸ”΄ O Elvas – Winning probability: 39.53% | Fair line: 2.53
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 GD Peniche
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on GD Peniche x O Elvas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for GD Peniche x O Elvas

Is betting on GD Peniche worth it?

πŸ”΅ GD Peniche: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$250.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$52.00.

Is it worth betting on O Elvas?

πŸ”΄ O Elvas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$0.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match GD Peniche x O Elvas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 GD Peniche
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for GD Peniche x O Elvas

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 GD Peniche and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 GD Peniche.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for GD Peniche x O Elvas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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