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Home » Predictions » Others » General Caballero JLM x Guarani Asuncion Betting tips for April 13 in Paraguay Division Profesional
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 23h15 Paraguay Division Profesional
General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM
PREDICTION Guarani Asuncion Wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Guarani Asuncion Guarani Asuncion
ODD: @2.38 Don't miss this prediction!

General Caballero JLM x Guarani Asuncion Betting tips for April 13 in Paraguay Division Profesional

Our betting tip for General Caballero JLM x Guarani Asuncion, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
23:15
General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM
2.90
X
3.00
Guarani Asuncion Guarani Asuncion
2.38

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for General Caballero JLM x Guarani Asuncion:

🔮 Guarani Asuncion wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guarani Asuncion, you can win up to $1190.00!

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The main points for the tip for General Caballero JLM x Guarani Asuncion:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Guarani Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $473.0.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between General Caballero JLM x Guarani Asuncion, with General Caballero JLM as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, General Caballero JLM conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from General Caballero JLM x Guarani Asuncion for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 13 of April

🏟️ General Caballero JLM X Guarani Asuncion – Paraguay Division Profesional
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 23:15
🔵 General Caballero JLM – Winning probability: 22.56% | Fair line: 4.43
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.76% | Fair line: 3.25
🔴 Guarani Asuncion – Winning probability: 46.69% | Fair line: 2.14
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 General Caballero JLM
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on General Caballero JLM x Guarani Asuncion is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302894 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for General Caballero JLM x Guarani Asuncion

Is betting on General Caballero JLM worth it?

🔵 General Caballero JLM: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $437.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$333.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $620.00
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Is betting on Guarani Asuncion worth it?

🔴 Guarani Asuncion: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – profiting $648.60;
  • And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$118.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match General Caballero JLM x Guarani Asuncion

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 General Caballero JLM
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for General Caballero JLM x Guarani Asuncion

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 General Caballero JLM and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 General Caballero JLM.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Guarani Asuncion.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for General Caballero JLM x Guarani Asuncion

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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