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Home » Predictions » Others » Genesis Huracan x Motagua Betting tips for February 3 in Honduras Liga Nacional
Monday, 03 February 2025, 01h30 Honduras Liga Nacional
Genesis Huracan Genesis Huracan
PREDICTION Genesis Huracan wins Probability 35% 1 X 2
Motagua Motagua
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Genesis Huracan x Motagua Betting tips for February 3 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Genesis Huracan x Motagua, Monday, 3/2/2025
📅 3/2/2025
01:30
Genesis Huracan Genesis Huracan
3.20
X
3.40
Motagua Motagua
2.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Genesis Huracan x Motagua:

🔮 Genesis Huracan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Genesis Huracan, you can win up to $1600.00!

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The main points for the tip for Genesis Huracan x Motagua:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Genesis Huracan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Motagua in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $302.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Genesis Huracan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Motagua scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Genesis Huracan x Motagua for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 3 of February

🏟️ Genesis Huracan X Motagua – Honduras Liga Nacional
📅 3 of February, 2025 – 01:30
🔵 Genesis Huracan – Winning probability: 35.14% | Fair line: 2.85
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.58% | Fair line: 3.17
🔴 Motagua – Winning probability: 33.28% | Fair line: 3.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Genesis Huracan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Genesis Huracan x Motagua right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255527 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Genesis Huracan x Motagua

Is betting on Genesis Huracan worth it?

🔵 Genesis Huracan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $770.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$120.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $768.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$88.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on Motagua worth it?

🔴 Motagua: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $330.00;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$340.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Genesis Huracan x Motagua

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Genesis Huracan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Genesis Huracan x Motagua

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Genesis Huracan and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Genesis Huracan.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Motagua.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Genesis Huracan x Motagua

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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