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Home » Predictions » Others » Gent x FK Backa Topola Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Conference League
Thursday, 12 December 2024, 20h00 UEFA Conference League
Gent Gent
PREDICTION Gent wins Probability 85% 1 X 2
FK Backa Topola FK Backa Topola
ODD: @1.28 Don't miss this prediction!

Gent x FK Backa Topola Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Conference League

Our betting tip for Gent x FK Backa Topola, Thursday, 12/12/2024
📅 12/12/2024
20:00
Gent Gent
1.28
X
5.50
FK Backa Topola FK Backa Topola
8.59

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gent x FK Backa Topola:

🔮 Gent wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gent, you can win up to $640.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Gent x FK Backa Topola:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gent in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $146.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Backa Topola in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Gent did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Gent scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Gent is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Gent x FK Backa Topola?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Gent x FK Backa Topola:

Analysis from Gent x FK Backa Topola for the UEFA Conference League – 12 of December

🏟️ Gent X FK Backa Topola – UEFA Conference League
📅 12 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Gent – Winning probability: 85.92% | Fair line: 1.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.68% | Fair line: 13.02
🔴 FK Backa Topola – Winning probability: 6.40% | Fair line: 15.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Gent
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gent and FK Backa Topola.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1235879 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gent x FK Backa Topola

Is it a good idea to bet on Gent?

🔵 Gent: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 85.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 860 times – profiting $240.80;
  • And would lose other 140 times – losing -$140.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$100.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $360.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$560.00.

Is it worth betting on FK Backa Topola?

🔴 FK Backa Topola: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.59. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $455.40
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$484.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Gent x FK Backa Topola

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Gent
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gent x FK Backa Topola

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Gent, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Gent.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gent x FK Backa Topola

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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