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Home » Predictions » Others » Gent II x Royal Cappellen Betting tips for January 11 in Belgium First Amateur Division
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 18h30 Belgium First Amateur Division
Gent II Gent II
PREDICTION Gent II wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Royal Cappellen Royal Cappellen
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Gent II x Royal Cappellen Betting tips for January 11 in Belgium First Amateur Division

Our betting tip for Gent II x Royal Cappellen, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
18:30
Gent II Gent II
1.62
X
4.00
Royal Cappellen Royal Cappellen
4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gent II x Royal Cappellen:

🔮 Gent II wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gent II, you can win up to $810.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Gent II x Royal Cappellen:

👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Gent II conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Gent II x Royal Cappellen for the Belgium First Amateur Division – 11 of January

🏟️ Gent II X Royal Cappellen – Belgium First Amateur Division
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 Gent II – Winning probability: 75.79% | Fair line: 1.32
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.09% | Fair line: 6.21
🔴 Royal Cappellen – Winning probability: 8.11% | Fair line: 12.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Gent II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gent II x Royal Cappellen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gent II x Royal Cappellen

Is betting on Gent II worth it?

🔵 Gent II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – profiting $471.20;
  • And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$231.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$360.00.

Is it worth betting on Royal Cappellen?

🔴 Royal Cappellen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $256.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$664.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gent II x Royal Cappellen

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Gent II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gent II x Royal Cappellen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Gent II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Gent II.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Gent II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gent II x Royal Cappellen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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