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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Gent x OH Leuven Betting tips for September 29 in Belgium First Division A
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h30 Belgium First Division A
Gent Gent
PREDICTION Gent wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
OH Leuven OH Leuven
ODD: @1.73 Don't miss this prediction!

Gent x OH Leuven Betting tips for September 29 in Belgium First Division A

Our betting tip for Gent x OH Leuven, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
13:30
Gent Gent
1.73
X
4.00
OH Leuven OH Leuven
4.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Gent x OH Leuven:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Gent wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gent, you can win up to $865.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Gent x OH Leuven:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gent in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $175.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on OH Leuven in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Gent scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, OH Leuven scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Gent matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, OH Leuven conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Gent x OH Leuven for the Belgium First Division A – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Gent X OH Leuven – Belgium First Division A
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 13:30
๐Ÿ”ต Gent – Winning probability: 71.36% | Fair line: 1.4
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.75% | Fair line: 6.35
๐Ÿ”ด OH Leuven – Winning probability: 12.89% | Fair line: 7.76
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Gent
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gent and OH Leuven.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gent x OH Leuven

Should you bet on Gent?

๐Ÿ”ต Gent: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $518.30
  • And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$228.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$360.00.

Should you bet on OH Leuven?

๐Ÿ”ด OH Leuven: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $390.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$480.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gent x OH Leuven

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Gent
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gent x OH Leuven

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Gent, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Gent.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gent x OH Leuven

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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