Gernika x Mutilvera Betting tips for December 7 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
| 📅 7/12/2025 16:30 |
 Gernika1.60 |
X 3.50 |
Mutilvera  5.25 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gernika x Mutilvera:
🔮 Gernika wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gernika, you can win up to $800.00!
Important information for your tip for Gernika x Mutilvera:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gernika in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $373.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mutilvera in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
👉 Gernika did not concede a goal in the last 6 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 Gernika matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Mutilvera conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Gernika conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Mutilvera.
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Analysis from Gernika x Mutilvera for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 7 of December
🏟️ Gernika X Mutilvera – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
📅 7 of December, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Gernika – Winning probability: 75.30% | Fair line: 1.33
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.76% | Fair line: 5.97
🔴 Mutilvera – Winning probability: 7.94% | Fair line: 12.6
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Gernika
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gernika x Mutilvera right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1449543 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Gernika x Mutilvera
Should you bet on Gernika?
🔵 Gernika: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
- And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $425.00
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$405.00.
Is it worth betting on Mutilvera?
🔴 Mutilvera: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $340.00;
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$580.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Gernika x Mutilvera
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Gernika
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gernika x Mutilvera
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Gernika and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Gernika.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Gernika.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gernika x Mutilvera
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
