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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Gernika x UD Logrones Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 16h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Gernika Gernika
PREDICTION No tip
UD Logrones UD Logrones
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Gernika x UD Logrones Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Gernika x UD Logrones, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
16:00
Gernika Gernika
3.70
X
2.93
UD Logrones UD Logrones
2.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gernika x UD Logrones:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Gernika x UD Logrones

Important information for your tip for Gernika x UD Logrones:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gernika in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $138.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UD Logrones in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
πŸ‘‰ UD Logrones did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Gernika scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Gernika x UD Logrones, with Gernika as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, UD Logrones has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Gernika x UD Logrones for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 2 of February

🏟️ Gernika X UD Logrones – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ Gernika – Winning probability: 15.34% | Fair line: 6.52
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.59% | Fair line: 2.89
πŸ”΄ UD Logrones – Winning probability: 50.07% | Fair line: 2.0
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Gernika
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gernika and UD Logrones.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gernika x UD Logrones

Is it worth betting on Gernika?

πŸ”΅ Gernika: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $405.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$445.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $675.50;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$25.50.

Is it worth betting on UD Logrones?

πŸ”΄ UD Logrones: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $500.00
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$0.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gernika x UD Logrones

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Gernika
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gernika x UD Logrones

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Gernika, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Gernika.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Gernika.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gernika x UD Logrones

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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