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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Getafe B x Navalcarnero Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 10h30 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Getafe B Getafe B
PREDICTION Getafe B wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Navalcarnero Navalcarnero
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Getafe B x Navalcarnero Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5

Our betting tip for Getafe B x Navalcarnero, Sunday, 9/3/2025
๐Ÿ“… 9/3/2025
10:30
Getafe B Getafe B
1.75
X
3.35
Navalcarnero Navalcarnero
4.22

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Getafe B x Navalcarnero:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Getafe B wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Getafe B, you can win up to $875.00!

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The main points for the tip for Getafe B x Navalcarnero:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Getafe B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Navalcarnero in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $180.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Getafe B scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Navalcarnero scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Getafe B conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Navalcarnero.

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Summary

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Analysis from Getafe B x Navalcarnero for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 9 of March

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Getafe B X Navalcarnero – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
๐Ÿ“… 9 of March, 2025 – 10:30
๐Ÿ”ต Getafe B – Winning probability: 64.98% | Fair line: 1.54
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.55% | Fair line: 4.07
๐Ÿ”ด Navalcarnero – Winning probability: 10.46% | Fair line: 9.56
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Getafe B
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Getafe B x Navalcarnero is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Getafe B x Navalcarnero

Is betting on Getafe B worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Getafe B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $487.50
  • And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$137.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $587.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$162.50.

Is it worth betting on Navalcarnero?

๐Ÿ”ด Navalcarnero: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $322.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$578.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Getafe B x Navalcarnero

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Getafe B
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Getafe B x Navalcarnero

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Getafe B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Getafe B.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Getafe B x Navalcarnero

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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