Gillingham x Grimsby Betting tips for October 1 in England League 2
π
1/10/2024 15:45 |
Gillingham 1.95 |
X 3.40 |
Grimsby 3.75 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Gillingham x Grimsby:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Gillingham x Grimsby
Important information for your tip for Gillingham x Grimsby: π If you had bet $100 on Gillingham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $192.0. |
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Analysis from Gillingham x Grimsby for the England League 2 – 1 of October
ποΈ Gillingham X Grimsby – England League 2 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gillingham x Grimsby right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1192611 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Gillingham x Grimsby
Is it worth betting on Gillingham?
π΅ Gillingham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $513.00;
- And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$53.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $600.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$150.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Grimsby?
π΄ Grimsby: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $577.50;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$212.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Gillingham x Grimsby
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gillingham
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gillingham x Grimsby
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Gillingham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Gillingham.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gillingham x Grimsby
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.