Gimnasia Mendoza x Nueva Chicago Betting tips for September 29 in Argentina Nacional B
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29/9/2024 16:10 |
 Gimnasia Mendoza1.75 |
X 3.15 |
Nueva Chicago  4.85 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gimnasia Mendoza x Nueva Chicago:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1575.00!
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Important information for your tip for Gimnasia Mendoza x Nueva Chicago: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Gimnasia Mendoza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-13.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Gimnasia Mendoza x Nueva Chicago?
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Analysis from Gimnasia Mendoza x Nueva Chicago for the Argentina Nacional B – 29 of September
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๐๏ธ Gimnasia Mendoza X Nueva Chicago – Argentina Nacional B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gimnasia Mendoza x Nueva Chicago right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Gimnasia Mendoza x Nueva Chicago
Is betting on Gimnasia Mendoza worth it?
๐ต Gimnasia Mendoza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $427.50;
- And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just ๐ฐ$2.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $709.50;
- And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$39.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Nueva Chicago?
๐ด Nueva Chicago: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $385.00
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$515.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Gimnasia Mendoza x Nueva Chicago
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gimnasia Mendoza
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gimnasia Mendoza x Nueva Chicago
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Gimnasia Mendoza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Gimnasia Mendoza.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gimnasia Mendoza x Nueva Chicago
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
