Gimnastic x Real Sociedad B Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
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29/9/2024 12:00 |
 Gimnastic1.95 |
X 2.90 |
Real Sociedad B  4.02 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Gimnastic x Real Sociedad B:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Gimnastic x Real Sociedad B
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Important information for your tip for Gimnastic x Real Sociedad B: π If you had bet $100 on Gimnastic in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $64.0. |
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Analysis from Gimnastic x Real Sociedad B for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 29 of September
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ποΈ Gimnastic X Real Sociedad B – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gimnastic x Real Sociedad B right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Gimnastic x Real Sociedad B
Is it a good idea to bet on Gimnastic?
π΅ Gimnastic: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – profiting $503.50;
- And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$33.50.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 320 times – profiting $608.00;
- And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$72.00.
Should you bet on Real Sociedad B?
π΄ Real Sociedad B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $453.00;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$397.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Gimnastic x Real Sociedad B
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Gimnastic
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gimnastic x Real Sociedad B
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Gimnastic, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Gimnastic.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Gimnastic.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gimnastic x Real Sociedad B
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
