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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Gimnastica Segoviana x Celta Fortuna Betting tips for April 13 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 15h30 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana
PREDICTION No tip
Celta Fortuna Celta Fortuna
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Gimnastica Segoviana x Celta Fortuna Betting tips for April 13 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Gimnastica Segoviana x Celta Fortuna, Sunday, 13/4/2025
πŸ“… 13/4/2025
15:30
Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana
3.10
X
3.20
Celta Fortuna Celta Fortuna
2.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Gimnastica Segoviana x Celta Fortuna:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Gimnastica Segoviana x Celta Fortuna

Important information for your tip for Gimnastica Segoviana x Celta Fortuna:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gimnastica Segoviana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Celta Fortuna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Gimnastica Segoviana matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Gimnastica Segoviana conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Gimnastica Segoviana x Celta Fortuna for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 13 of April

🏟️ Gimnastica Segoviana X Celta Fortuna – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
πŸ“… 13 of April, 2025 – 15:30
πŸ”΅ Gimnastica Segoviana – Winning probability: 23.73% | Fair line: 4.21
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.12% | Fair line: 3.83
πŸ”΄ Celta Fortuna – Winning probability: 50.14% | Fair line: 1.99
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Gimnastica Segoviana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Gimnastica Segoviana x Celta Fortuna is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302187 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gimnastica Segoviana x Celta Fortuna

Is betting on Gimnastica Segoviana worth it?

πŸ”΅ Gimnastica Segoviana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $504.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$256.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$168.00.

Is it worth betting on Celta Fortuna?

πŸ”΄ Celta Fortuna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$100.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gimnastica Segoviana x Celta Fortuna

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Gimnastica Segoviana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gimnastica Segoviana x Celta Fortuna

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Gimnastica Segoviana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Gimnastica Segoviana.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Celta Fortuna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gimnastica Segoviana x Celta Fortuna

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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