📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Giresunspor x Kasimpasa
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Analysis from Giresunspor x Kasimpasa for the Turkey Super Lig – 16 of January
🏟️ Giresunspor X Kasimpasa – Turkey Super Lig
When the best bet on Giresunspor x Kasimpasa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Giresunspor x Kasimpasa
Should you bet on Giresunspor?
🔵 Giresunspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 510 times – profiting $459.00;
- And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$31.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $634.50
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$95.50.
Is betting on Kasimpasa worth it?
🔴 Kasimpasa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $631.40;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$148.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Giresunspor x Kasimpasa
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Giresunspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Giresunspor x Kasimpasa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Giresunspor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Giresunspor.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Giresunspor x Kasimpasa
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves