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Home » Predictions » Others » Girona x Las Palmas Betting tips for February 3 in Spain La Liga
Monday, 03 February 2025, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Girona Girona
PREDICTION Girona wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Las Palmas Las Palmas
ODD: @1.58 Don't miss this prediction!

Girona x Las Palmas Betting tips for February 3 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Girona x Las Palmas, Monday, 3/2/2025
📅 3/2/2025
20:00
Girona Girona
1.58
X
4.10
Las Palmas Las Palmas
5.32

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Girona x Las Palmas:

🔮 Girona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Girona, you can win up to $790.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Girona x Las Palmas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Girona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-364.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Las Palmas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1144.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Girona scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Girona x Las Palmas, with Girona as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Girona matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Girona has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Las Palmas playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Girona x Las Palmas for the Spain La Liga – 3 of February

🏟️ Girona X Las Palmas – Spain La Liga
📅 3 of February, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Girona – Winning probability: 78.16% | Fair line: 1.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.39% | Fair line: 8.07
🔴 Las Palmas – Winning probability: 9.45% | Fair line: 10.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Girona
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Girona x Las Palmas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255653 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Girona x Las Palmas

Should you bet on Girona?

🔵 Girona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 78.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 780 times – profiting $452.40;
  • And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$232.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $372.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$508.00.

Is betting on Las Palmas worth it?

🔴 Las Palmas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $388.80;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$521.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Girona x Las Palmas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Girona
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Girona x Las Palmas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Girona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Girona.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Las Palmas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Girona x Las Palmas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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