Giugliano x AZ Picerno ASD Betting tips for March 12 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Giugliano x AZ Picerno ASD, Wednesday, 12/3/2025

📅 12/3/2025 17:30

Giugliano 2.19

X 2.90

AZ Picerno ASD 3.09

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Giugliano x AZ Picerno ASD:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Giugliano x AZ Picerno ASD

Some important points for the tip for Giugliano x AZ Picerno ASD: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ Picerno ASD in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Giugliano scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Giugliano matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Giugliano conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Giugliano is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, AZ Picerno ASD has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Giugliano x AZ Picerno ASD for the Italy Serie C Group C – 12 of March

When the best bet on Giugliano x AZ Picerno ASD is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1280306 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Giugliano x AZ Picerno ASD

Is it a good idea to bet on Giugliano?

🔵 Giugliano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $416.50
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$233.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $608.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$72.00.

Is betting on AZ Picerno ASD worth it?

🔴 AZ Picerno ASD: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $689.70
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$19.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Giugliano x AZ Picerno ASD

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Giugliano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Giugliano x AZ Picerno ASD

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Giugliano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Giugliano.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 AZ Picerno ASD.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Giugliano x AZ Picerno ASD

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.