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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป GKS Belchatow x Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Betting tips for September 29 in Poland III Liga
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Poland III Liga
GKS Belchatow GKS Belchatow
PREDICTION GKS Belchatow wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
ODD: @1.91 Don't miss this prediction!

GKS Belchatow x Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Betting tips for September 29 in Poland III Liga

Our betting tip for GKS Belchatow x Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
11:00
GKS Belchatow GKS Belchatow
1.91
X
3.64
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
3.15

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for GKS Belchatow x Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki:

๐Ÿ”ฎ GKS Belchatow wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on GKS Belchatow, you can win up to $955.00!

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Some important points for the tip for GKS Belchatow x Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on GKS Belchatow in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, GKS Belchatow scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki, GKS Belchatow scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ GKS Belchatow has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from GKS Belchatow x Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki for the Poland III Liga – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ GKS Belchatow X Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki – Poland III Liga
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
๐Ÿ”ต GKS Belchatow – Winning probability: 59.21% | Fair line: 1.69
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.97% | Fair line: 5.57
๐Ÿ”ด Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki – Winning probability: 22.82% | Fair line: 4.38
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 GKS Belchatow
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on GKS Belchatow x Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for GKS Belchatow x Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Is betting on GKS Belchatow worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต GKS Belchatow: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $536.90;
  • And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$126.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $475.20;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$344.80.

Should you bet on Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki?

๐Ÿ”ด Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $494.50;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$275.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match GKS Belchatow x Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 GKS Belchatow
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for GKS Belchatow x Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 GKS Belchatow, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 GKS Belchatow.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for GKS Belchatow x Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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