Goianesia x Ceilandia Betting tips for April 20 in Brazil Serie D
| 📅 20/4/2025 18:30 |
 Goianesia2.90 |
X 2.88 |
Ceilandia  2.41 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Goianesia x Ceilandia:
🔮 Ceilandia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ceilandia, you can win up to $1205.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Goianesia x Ceilandia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Goianesia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-260.0. |
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Analysis from Goianesia x Ceilandia for the Brazil Serie D – 20 of April
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🏟️ Goianesia X Ceilandia – Brazil Serie D |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Goianesia x Ceilandia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1307028 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Goianesia x Ceilandia
Is it a good idea to bet on Goianesia?
🔵 Goianesia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$130.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $338.40;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$481.60.
Is it worth betting on Ceilandia?
🔴 Ceilandia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $719.10;
- And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$229.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match Goianesia x Ceilandia
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Goianesia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Goianesia x Ceilandia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Goianesia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Goianesia.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Goianesia x Ceilandia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
