Goias x Vila Nova Betting tips for April 17 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Goias x Vila Nova, Thursday, 17/4/2025

📅 17/4/2025 22:00

Goias 1.81

X 3.30

Vila Nova 4.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Goias x Vila Nova:

🔮 Goias wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Goias, you can win up to $905.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Goias x Vila Nova: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Goias in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vila Nova in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $75.0. 👉 In the last 4 Goias matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Vila Nova matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Goias x Vila Nova, with Goias as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Goias conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Vila Nova.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Goias x Vila Nova?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Goias x Vila Nova for the Brazil Serie B – 17 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Goias x Vila Nova right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1305782 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Goias x Vila Nova

Should you bet on Goias?

🔵 Goias: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $575.10
• And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$285.10.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $368.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$472.00.

Is betting on Vila Nova worth it?

🔴 Vila Nova: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $455.00
• And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$415.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Goias x Vila Nova

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Goias
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Goias x Vila Nova

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Goias, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Goias. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Goias x Vila Nova

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.