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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Gol Gohar x Esteghlal Betting tips for April 16 in Iran Pro League
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 14h30 Iran Pro League
Gol Gohar Gol Gohar
PREDICTION No tip
Esteghlal Esteghlal
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Gol Gohar x Esteghlal Betting tips for April 16 in Iran Pro League

Our betting tip for Gol Gohar x Esteghlal, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
πŸ“… 16/4/2025
14:30
Gol Gohar Gol Gohar
2.99
X
2.70
Esteghlal Esteghlal
2.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Gol Gohar x Esteghlal:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Gol Gohar x Esteghlal

Important information for your tip for Gol Gohar x Esteghlal:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gol Gohar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Esteghlal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Gol Gohar matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Esteghlal conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Gol Gohar conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Esteghlal.

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Summary

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Analysis from Gol Gohar x Esteghlal for the Iran Pro League – 16 of April

🏟️ Gol Gohar X Esteghlal – Iran Pro League
πŸ“… 16 of April, 2025 – 14:30
πŸ”΅ Gol Gohar – Winning probability: 29.90% | Fair line: 3.34
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.52% | Fair line: 3.39
πŸ”΄ Esteghlal – Winning probability: 40.58% | Fair line: 2.46
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Gol Gohar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gol Gohar x Esteghlal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1304980 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gol Gohar x Esteghlal

Is it worth betting on Gol Gohar?

πŸ”΅ Gol Gohar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $597.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$103.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $510.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$190.00.

Should you bet on Esteghlal?

πŸ”΄ Esteghlal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $615.00;
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$25.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gol Gohar x Esteghlal

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Gol Gohar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gol Gohar x Esteghlal

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Gol Gohar, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Gol Gohar.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Esteghlal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gol Gohar x Esteghlal

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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