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Gorilla FC x Bugesera Betting tips for January 16 in Rwanda National League

Our betting tip for Gorilla FC x Bugesera, Sunday, 16/1/2022
πŸ“… 16/1/2022
10:30
Gorilla FC
2.41
X
2.87
Bugesera
2.82

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Gorilla FC x Bugesera:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Gorilla FC x Bugesera

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Gorilla FC x Bugesera

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Analysis from Gorilla FC x Bugesera for the Rwanda National League – 16 of January

🏟️ Gorilla FC X Bugesera – Rwanda National League
πŸ“… 16 of January, 2022 – 10:30
πŸ”΅ Gorilla FC – Winning probability: 36.98% | Fair line: 2.7
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.89% | Fair line: 3.59
πŸ”΄ Bugesera – Winning probability: 35.13% | Fair line: 2.85
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Gorilla FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Gorilla FC x Bugesera is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gorilla FC x Bugesera

Is it a good idea to bet on Gorilla FC?

πŸ”΅ Gorilla FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $521.70;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$108.30.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $523.60;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$196.40.

Is it worth betting on Bugesera?

πŸ”΄ Bugesera: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $637.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$13.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gorilla FC x Bugesera

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Gorilla FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gorilla FC x Bugesera

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Gorilla FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Gorilla FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Bugesera.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gorilla FC x Bugesera

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves