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Home ยป Predictions ยป Gornik Zabrze II x Carina Gubin Betting tips for September 29 in Poland III Liga
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Poland III Liga
Gornik Zabrze II Gornik Zabrze II
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 29% 1 X 2
Carina Gubin Carina Gubin
ODD: @3.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Gornik Zabrze II x Carina Gubin Betting tips for September 29 in Poland III Liga

Our betting tip for Gornik Zabrze II x Carina Gubin, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
11:00
Gornik Zabrze II Gornik Zabrze II
2.19
X
3.60
Carina Gubin Carina Gubin
2.63

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gornik Zabrze II x Carina Gubin:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1800.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Gornik Zabrze II x Carina Gubin:

๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Gornik Zabrze II scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Carina Gubin scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Carina Gubin, Gornik Zabrze II scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Gornik Zabrze II x Carina Gubin, with Gornik Zabrze II as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Gornik Zabrze II conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Carina Gubin.

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Summary

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Analysis from Gornik Zabrze II x Carina Gubin for the Poland III Liga – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Gornik Zabrze II X Carina Gubin – Poland III Liga
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
๐Ÿ”ต Gornik Zabrze II – Winning probability: 37.97% | Fair line: 2.63
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.90% | Fair line: 3.34
๐Ÿ”ด Carina Gubin – Winning probability: 32.13% | Fair line: 3.11
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Gornik Zabrze II
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gornik Zabrze II x Carina Gubin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gornik Zabrze II x Carina Gubin

Should you bet on Gornik Zabrze II?

๐Ÿ”ต Gornik Zabrze II: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $452.20
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$167.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $780.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$80.00.

Is it worth betting on Carina Gubin?

๐Ÿ”ด Carina Gubin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $521.60;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$158.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gornik Zabrze II x Carina Gubin

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Gornik Zabrze II
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gornik Zabrze II x Carina Gubin

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Gornik Zabrze II and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Gornik Zabrze II.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Carina Gubin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gornik Zabrze II x Carina Gubin

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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