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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Granada x Eibar Betting tips for May 12 in Spain Segunda
Monday, 12 May 2025, 18h30 Spain Segunda
Granada Granada
PREDICTION No tip
Eibar Eibar
Don't miss this prediction!

Granada x Eibar Betting tips for May 12 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Granada x Eibar, Monday, 12/5/2025
πŸ“… 12/5/2025
18:30
Granada Granada
1.75
X
3.40
Eibar Eibar
4.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Granada x Eibar:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Granada x Eibar

Important information for your tip for Granada x Eibar:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Granada in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $113.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Eibar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Granada scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Eibar, Granada scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Granada conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Eibar.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Eibar has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Granada x Eibar for the Spain Segunda – 12 of May

🏟️ Granada X Eibar – Spain Segunda
πŸ“… 12 of May, 2025 – 18:30
πŸ”΅ Granada – Winning probability: 61.06% | Fair line: 1.64
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.72% | Fair line: 3.89
πŸ”΄ Eibar – Winning probability: 13.22% | Fair line: 7.57
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Granada
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Granada and Eibar.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1323071 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Granada x Eibar

Is it worth betting on Granada?

πŸ”΅ Granada: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – profiting $457.50;
  • And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$67.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $624.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$116.00.

Is betting on Eibar worth it?

πŸ”΄ Eibar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $468.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$402.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Granada x Eibar

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Granada
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Granada x Eibar

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Granada and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Granada.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Eibar.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Granada x Eibar

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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