Grazer AK x Austria Klagenfurt Betting tips for September 29 in Austria Bundesliga

Our betting tip for Grazer AK x Austria Klagenfurt, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 12:00

Grazer AK 2.10

X 3.47

Austria Klagenfurt 3.17

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Grazer AK x Austria Klagenfurt:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Grazer AK x Austria Klagenfurt

The main points for the tip for Grazer AK x Austria Klagenfurt: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Grazer AK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-360.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Grazer AK scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Austria Klagenfurt scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Austria Klagenfurt, Grazer AK scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Grazer AK x Austria Klagenfurt, with Grazer AK as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Grazer AK conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Austria Klagenfurt.

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Analysis from Grazer AK x Austria Klagenfurt for the Austria Bundesliga – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Grazer AK x Austria Klagenfurt right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Grazer AK x Austria Klagenfurt

Should you bet on Grazer AK?

🔵 Grazer AK: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$8.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $691.60;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$28.40.

Should you bet on Austria Klagenfurt?

🔴 Austria Klagenfurt: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $520.80;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$239.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Grazer AK x Austria Klagenfurt

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Grazer AK
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Grazer AK x Austria Klagenfurt

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Grazer AK, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Grazer AK.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Austria Klagenfurt.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Grazer AK x Austria Klagenfurt

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.