Greece x Italy Betting tips for June 7 in International Match
| 📅 7/6/2026 19:00 |
Greece2.08 |
X 3.51 |
Italy ![]() 3.08 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Greece x Italy:
🔮 Italy wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Italy, you can win up to $1540.00!
Some important points for the tip for Greece x Italy:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Greece in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-173.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Italy in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-5.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Italy scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Italy matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Greece conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Italy has not lost any of them.
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Greece x Italy?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2026, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Greece x Italy:
Analysis from Greece x Italy for the International Match – 7 of June
🏟️ Greece X Italy – International Match
📅 7 of June, 2026 – 19:00
🔵 Greece – Winning probability: 45.27% | Fair line: 2.21
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.27% | Fair line: 5.47
🔴 Italy – Winning probability: 36.47% | Fair line: 2.74
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Greece
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Odds and handicap movements for Greece x Italy
One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Greece x Italy.
Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Greece are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.0 for Greece and now the odds are @2.0.
📊 With a variation of 2.94%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.4 for Draw and now the odds are @3.5.
📊 With a variation of -1.54%, the odds for Italy are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.25 for Italy and now the odds are @3.2.
📊 The market increased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -0.25 is now at -0.50 for Greece.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.5 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Greece x Italy
When the best bet on Greece x Italy is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1557170 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Should you bet on Greece?
🔵 Greece: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 450 times – profiting $486.00;
- And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$64.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $451.80
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$368.20.
Should you bet on Italy?
🔴 Italy: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $748.80;
- And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$108.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Greece x Italy
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Greece
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Greece x Italy
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Greece and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Greece.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Italy.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Greece x Italy
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Greece x Italy
Which team is the favourite in Greece x Italy?
According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is Greece, with a win probability of 45.27%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!
Who will win: Greece or Italy?
It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that Greece is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 45.27%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!
What are the chances of Greece beating Italy today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Greece would win about 45 of those against Italy.
What are the chances of Italy beating Greece today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Italy to win approximately 36 of them against Greece.
Which team should I bet on: Greece or Italy?
Smart bettors seek bets with positive expected value. According to our analysis, the recommended bet is: Italy Wins, with an expected value of 16.79%. Remember to bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: dont stake over 2%!
How much is Greece paying today? See what you can win by betting on Greece x Italy:
The odds for Greece to beat Italy today are around 2.08. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2080.00 if Greece wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is Italy paying today? See what you can win by betting on Greece x Italy:
The odds for Italy to beat Greece today are around 3.08. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh3080.00 if Italy wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

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