Green Buffaloes x Nkwazi Betting tips for January 16 in Zambia Super League

Our betting tip for Green Buffaloes x Nkwazi, Sunday, 16/1/2022

📅 16/1/2022 13:00

Green Buffaloes 2.09

X 2.70

Nkwazi 3.65

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Green Buffaloes x Nkwazi:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Green Buffaloes x Nkwazi

📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Green Buffaloes x Nkwazi

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Analysis from Green Buffaloes x Nkwazi for the Zambia Super League – 16 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Green Buffaloes x Nkwazi right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Green Buffaloes x Nkwazi

Should you bet on Green Buffaloes?

🔵 Green Buffaloes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $479.60
• And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$80.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $595.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$55.00.

Should you bet on Nkwazi?

🔴 Nkwazi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $583.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$197.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Green Buffaloes x Nkwazi

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Green Buffaloes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Green Buffaloes x Nkwazi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Green Buffaloes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Green Buffaloes.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Green Buffaloes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Green Buffaloes x Nkwazi

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

Our tips are also on YouTube

Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Sunday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!

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