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Home » Predictions » Others » Gremio Novorizontino x Corinthians Betting tips for February 4 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 00h30 Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Gremio Novorizontino Gremio Novorizontino
PREDICTION Corinthians Wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Corinthians Corinthians
ODD: @2.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Gremio Novorizontino x Corinthians Betting tips for February 4 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Gremio Novorizontino x Corinthians, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
00:30
Gremio Novorizontino Gremio Novorizontino
3.00
X
3.10
Corinthians Corinthians
2.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gremio Novorizontino x Corinthians:

🔮 Corinthians wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Corinthians, you can win up to $1125.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Gremio Novorizontino x Corinthians:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gremio Novorizontino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $575.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Corinthians scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Gremio Novorizontino matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Gremio Novorizontino x Corinthians, with Gremio Novorizontino as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Gremio Novorizontino conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Gremio Novorizontino x Corinthians?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Gremio Novorizontino x Corinthians, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Gremio Novorizontino x Corinthians for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 4 of February

🏟️ Gremio Novorizontino X Corinthians – Brazil Campeonato Paulista
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Gremio Novorizontino – Winning probability: 18.66% | Fair line: 5.36
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.64% | Fair line: 4.62
🔴 Corinthians – Winning probability: 59.70% | Fair line: 1.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Gremio Novorizontino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Gremio Novorizontino x Corinthians is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1256513 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gremio Novorizontino x Corinthians

Is betting on Gremio Novorizontino worth it?

🔵 Gremio Novorizontino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $380.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $462.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$318.00.

Is it worth betting on Corinthians?

🔴 Corinthians: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $750.00;
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$350.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Gremio Novorizontino x Corinthians

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Gremio Novorizontino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gremio Novorizontino x Corinthians

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Gremio Novorizontino, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Gremio Novorizontino.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gremio Novorizontino x Corinthians

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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