Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta Betting tips for September 30 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 21:00

Gremio Novorizontino 1.57

X 3.50

Ponte Preta 6.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta:

🔮 Gremio Novorizontino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gremio Novorizontino, you can win up to $785.00!

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The main points for the tip for Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gremio Novorizontino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $183.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ponte Preta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0. 👉 Gremio Novorizontino did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Gremio Novorizontino scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Ponte Preta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Ponte Preta, Gremio Novorizontino scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Gremio Novorizontino matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Gremio Novorizontino is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Gremio Novorizontino has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Ponte Preta playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta:

Analysis from Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta for the Brazil Serie B – 30 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1192575 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta

Is betting on Gremio Novorizontino worth it?

🔵 Gremio Novorizontino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 730 times – this would give you a profit of $416.10
• And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$146.10.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $500.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$300.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ponte Preta?

🔴 Ponte Preta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $350.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$580.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Gremio Novorizontino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Gremio Novorizontino, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Gremio Novorizontino.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Gremio Novorizontino.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.