📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Grimsby x Altrincham
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Analysis from Grimsby x Altrincham for the England National League – 15 of January
🏟️ Grimsby X Altrincham – England National League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Grimsby x Altrincham right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Grimsby x Altrincham
Should you bet on Grimsby?
🔵 Grimsby: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 620 times – profiting $465.00;
- And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$85.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $514.50;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$275.50.
Is betting on Altrincham worth it?
🔴 Altrincham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $544.00
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$286.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Grimsby x Altrincham
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Grimsby
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Grimsby x Altrincham
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Grimsby and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Grimsby.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Grimsby.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Grimsby x Altrincham
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves