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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Grosseto x ASD Seravezza Calcio Betting tips for January 15 in Italy Serie D
Wednesday, 15 January 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Grosseto Grosseto
PREDICTION No tip
ASD Seravezza Calcio ASD Seravezza Calcio
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Grosseto x ASD Seravezza Calcio Betting tips for January 15 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Grosseto x ASD Seravezza Calcio, Wednesday, 15/1/2025
πŸ“… 15/1/2025
13:30
Grosseto Grosseto
2.30
X
3.10
ASD Seravezza Calcio ASD Seravezza Calcio
2.93

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Grosseto x ASD Seravezza Calcio:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Grosseto x ASD Seravezza Calcio

The main points for the tip for Grosseto x ASD Seravezza Calcio:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Grosseto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $15.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ASD Seravezza Calcio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Grosseto scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Grosseto is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Grosseto x ASD Seravezza Calcio for the Italy Serie D – 15 of January

🏟️ Grosseto X ASD Seravezza Calcio – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 15 of January, 2025 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ Grosseto – Winning probability: 38.81% | Fair line: 2.58
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.24% | Fair line: 3.1
πŸ”΄ ASD Seravezza Calcio – Winning probability: 28.95% | Fair line: 3.45
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Grosseto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Grosseto x ASD Seravezza Calcio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246743 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Grosseto x ASD Seravezza Calcio

Is it worth betting on Grosseto?

πŸ”΅ Grosseto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $507.00
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$103.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$8.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on ASD Seravezza Calcio worth it?

πŸ”΄ ASD Seravezza Calcio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $559.70;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$150.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Grosseto x ASD Seravezza Calcio

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Grosseto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Grosseto x ASD Seravezza Calcio

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Grosseto, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Grosseto.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Grosseto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Grosseto x ASD Seravezza Calcio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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