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Home » Predictions » Others » Gualaceo SC x Club 9 de Octubre Betting tips for October 30 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 20h30 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
Gualaceo SC Gualaceo SC
PREDICTION Gualaceo SC wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Club 9 de Octubre Club 9 de Octubre
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Gualaceo SC x Club 9 de Octubre Betting tips for October 30 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie B

Our betting tip for Gualaceo SC x Club 9 de Octubre, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
20:30
Gualaceo SC Gualaceo SC
1.80
X
3.20
Club 9 de Octubre Club 9 de Octubre
4.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Gualaceo SC x Club 9 de Octubre:

🔮 Gualaceo SC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gualaceo SC, you can win up to $900.00!

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Important information for your tip for Gualaceo SC x Club 9 de Octubre:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gualaceo SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $210.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Club 9 de Octubre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Club 9 de Octubre scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Club 9 de Octubre, Gualaceo SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Club 9 de Octubre conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Gualaceo SC has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Club 9 de Octubre.

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Summary

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Analysis from Gualaceo SC x Club 9 de Octubre for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie B – 30 of October

🏟️ Gualaceo SC X Club 9 de Octubre – Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 20:30
🔵 Gualaceo SC – Winning probability: 81.83% | Fair line: 1.22
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.37% | Fair line: 9.64
🔴 Club 9 de Octubre – Winning probability: 7.80% | Fair line: 12.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Gualaceo SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Gualaceo SC x Club 9 de Octubre is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212930 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gualaceo SC x Club 9 de Octubre

Is it worth betting on Gualaceo SC?

🔵 Gualaceo SC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $656.00
  • And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$476.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $220.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$680.00.

Should you bet on Club 9 de Octubre?

🔴 Club 9 de Octubre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $256.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$664.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gualaceo SC x Club 9 de Octubre

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Gualaceo SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gualaceo SC x Club 9 de Octubre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Gualaceo SC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Gualaceo SC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Club 9 de Octubre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gualaceo SC x Club 9 de Octubre

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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