Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Others » Guarani x Palmeiras Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 21h30 Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Guarani Guarani
PREDICTION Palmeiras Wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Guarani x Palmeiras Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Guarani x Palmeiras, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
21:30
Guarani Guarani
5.95
X
3.82
Palmeiras Palmeiras
1.48

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Guarani x Palmeiras:

🔮 Palmeiras wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palmeiras, you can win up to $740.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Guarani x Palmeiras:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Guarani in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $281.0.
👉 Guarani did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Palmeiras scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Guarani matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Palmeiras conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Palmeiras has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Guarani x Palmeiras?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Guarani x Palmeiras, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Guarani x Palmeiras for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 2 of February

🏟️ Guarani X Palmeiras – Brazil Campeonato Paulista
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 21:30
🔵 Guarani – Winning probability: 4.24% | Fair line: 23.58
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.21% | Fair line: 8.92
🔴 Palmeiras – Winning probability: 84.55% | Fair line: 1.18
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Guarani
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Guarani x Palmeiras is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Guarani x Palmeiras

Is it worth betting on Guarani?

🔵 Guarani: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $198.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$762.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $310.20;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$579.80.

Should you bet on Palmeiras?

🔴 Palmeiras: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 850 times – profiting $408.00;
  • And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$258.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Guarani x Palmeiras

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Guarani
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guarani x Palmeiras

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Guarani and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Guarani.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Guarani.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guarani x Palmeiras

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters