Guastatoya x Xelaju Betting tips for April 13 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Guastatoya x Xelaju, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 22:30

Guastatoya 1.74

X 3.25

Xelaju 4.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Guastatoya x Xelaju:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Guastatoya x Xelaju

Important information for your tip for Guastatoya x Xelaju: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Guastatoya in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-158.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Xelaju in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Guastatoya scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Xelaju, Guastatoya scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Guastatoya matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Guastatoya x Xelaju, with Guastatoya as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Xelaju conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Guastatoya conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Xelaju. 👉 Guastatoya has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Xelaju playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Guastatoya x Xelaju?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Guastatoya x Xelaju:

Analysis from Guastatoya x Xelaju for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 13 of April

When the best bet on Guastatoya x Xelaju is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302894 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Guastatoya x Xelaju

Is it a good idea to bet on Guastatoya?

🔵 Guastatoya: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $399.60;
• And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$60.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $607.50;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$122.50.

Is it worth betting on Xelaju?

🔴 Xelaju: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $632.70;
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$177.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Guastatoya x Xelaju

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Guastatoya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guastatoya x Xelaju

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Guastatoya, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Guastatoya.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guastatoya x Xelaju

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.